by the Editors
So the group met up around 9:30 (after everyone finished their meetings and night classes) to comment a bit on the Michigan and Arizona primaries. Sorry for not getting the Arizona info... it was already decided by the time this group met!
9:38 pm: Santorum's underperforming so far in the counties of western Michigan where he was expected to win big. Take Ottawa County, for example: this particular county, historical home to scores of arch-conservative Dutch Calvinists in the late-19th century, gave Mike Huckabee the most support of any Michigan county in 2008. With less than 50% reporting, Santorum has not crossed the 50% threshold necessary for us to say he has the county under control.
9:48 pm: We've hit 50% of precincts reporting. Romney has a comfortable four-point lead. If he keeps this margin, and more precincts report consistently in the future, Romney will begin to pull away from Santorum.
9:54 pm: It's been reported that Romney is doing better among Michigan Catholics than Santorum. In conjunction, Santorum is performing better among self-professed "liberal Democrats" than Catholics. Here are some links to help drive the point home:
http://www.irishcentral.com/news/Michigan-Catholics-prefer-Mormon-Mitt-Romney-to-Catholic-Rick-Santorum-140545573.html
http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2012/02/yes_michigan_democrats_are_vot.html
10:00 pm: Props to the Michigan Department of State for reporting 61% of ballots by 10:00. In comparison, Maine took a week to count 5,000 votes. The Iowa caucuses took all week to formally count the ballots and still got it wrong, originally. Whoever's running State over in Lansing, we tip our hats.
10:03 pm: Fox News interviewing Jan Brewer, talking about her Romney endorsement. Fun fact... Santorum has no endorsement from any former or current state governor yet.
10:09 pm: Santorum giving a speech already? Wow, giving a concession speech this early is a bad sign, especially when the race is still "too close to call." He's still got that spirit that he's come from absolutely nothing... perhaps it might be a little late in the race, at this point. The punditry certainly proves otherwise, over the past month.
10:17 pm: Fox News calls the primary. Romney wins. CNN calls the primary 90 seconds later. Romney wins. These editors conclude that the night is over. Concluding remarks going around the room... "a dominant showing by Republican frontrunner (and Pitt CR-endorsed candidate), Mitt Romney, for sure." "Well, I guess the Dems didn't get their way..." Have a good night, everyone.
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Rick Santorum and the Republican Primary Voter
by Brian Witt
On Saturday, Rick Santorum said that President Barack Obama is a "snob," who is encouraging young people to go to college in in order to "indoctrinate" them and that decent, hardworking people didn't need "leftist" college professors to be successful.
This struck most observers as profoundly odd, as the U.S. has long differentiated itself from its Western European counterparts by succesfully encouraging a much larger percentage of its students to go on to attain a post-secondary degree. Thus Santorum's statement that more people should be content to "work with their hands" instead of obtaining an "elitist" degree sounds much more like the typical European welfare state than America.
Republicans have won college educated voters in every election since the 1960s, although Democrats do somewhat better with voters who display post-graduate degrees, most of whom tend to be concentrated in academia and the government. Republican presidential candidates have also consistently won voters who earn more than $100,000 a year, the lion's share of those being college educated.
In other words, if Republicans are the party pf college educated, higher income Americans, why would a candidate for the GOP nomination set out to dismiss higher education and align so closely with the traditionally Democratic working class? Because Santorum knows his voter base and indeed the growing base of the Republican Party in general.
Despite the trouble caused by his poor debate performance and recent verbal gaffes, there is a real chance that Santorum can win Michigan today and will be very competitive in several of the Super Tuesday states. He has remained competitive against Romney by appealing to the growing number of Republican primary voters motivated by cultural instead of economic arguments. These voters care far more about sex education than marginal tax rates, and they see Romney's business experience as suspect not inspiring.
They see the boogeyman of "elite snobs" everywhere, encouraged by a conservative media echo-chamber which devotes far more time to conspiracy theories about the New Black Panther Party and sharia law than actually trying to impact public policy. Where once the local Republican Party would be dominated by CEOs and doctors, the local business community motivated by civic spirit and sound economics, it has been taken over by marginally employed and education Tea Party activists, spouting what they think is Austrian economics while relying on an interpretation of the Constitution derived from a tearful radio host.
Rick Santorum, like Newt Gingrich before him, has attacked Romney by appealing to the basest instincts of the Republican Party's new working class voter base. He may well end up costing Romney the nomination, but the damage he and his fellow demagogues have done to the GOP will last far longer than this election cycle.
On Saturday, Rick Santorum said that President Barack Obama is a "snob," who is encouraging young people to go to college in in order to "indoctrinate" them and that decent, hardworking people didn't need "leftist" college professors to be successful.
This struck most observers as profoundly odd, as the U.S. has long differentiated itself from its Western European counterparts by succesfully encouraging a much larger percentage of its students to go on to attain a post-secondary degree. Thus Santorum's statement that more people should be content to "work with their hands" instead of obtaining an "elitist" degree sounds much more like the typical European welfare state than America.
Republicans have won college educated voters in every election since the 1960s, although Democrats do somewhat better with voters who display post-graduate degrees, most of whom tend to be concentrated in academia and the government. Republican presidential candidates have also consistently won voters who earn more than $100,000 a year, the lion's share of those being college educated.
Hm...
In other words, if Republicans are the party pf college educated, higher income Americans, why would a candidate for the GOP nomination set out to dismiss higher education and align so closely with the traditionally Democratic working class? Because Santorum knows his voter base and indeed the growing base of the Republican Party in general.
Despite the trouble caused by his poor debate performance and recent verbal gaffes, there is a real chance that Santorum can win Michigan today and will be very competitive in several of the Super Tuesday states. He has remained competitive against Romney by appealing to the growing number of Republican primary voters motivated by cultural instead of economic arguments. These voters care far more about sex education than marginal tax rates, and they see Romney's business experience as suspect not inspiring.
Some just aren't getting the joke...
They see the boogeyman of "elite snobs" everywhere, encouraged by a conservative media echo-chamber which devotes far more time to conspiracy theories about the New Black Panther Party and sharia law than actually trying to impact public policy. Where once the local Republican Party would be dominated by CEOs and doctors, the local business community motivated by civic spirit and sound economics, it has been taken over by marginally employed and education Tea Party activists, spouting what they think is Austrian economics while relying on an interpretation of the Constitution derived from a tearful radio host.
Rick Santorum, like Newt Gingrich before him, has attacked Romney by appealing to the basest instincts of the Republican Party's new working class voter base. He may well end up costing Romney the nomination, but the damage he and his fellow demagogues have done to the GOP will last far longer than this election cycle.
How about another four years from now?
Monday, February 27, 2012
Constructivism and the Global Economy
by Elizabeth Matenkoski
When examining global economy, the two main views that
Republicans will more than likely take are economic liberalism and
realism. Most people do not realize that
economic liberalism is the typical conservative view regarding economics, first
formulated by Adam Smith. Famous economic
liberals include Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. Realism, on the other hand, is the belief
that all actions must be done in whatever keeps the nation safest, which tends
to put the military first. This point-of-view
is essential since we are living in a post 9/11 world. Realism is also the main course that the
United States generally takes when regarding foreign interests.
One perspective when looking into global economy that many
people fail to look at is the constructivist perspective. Constructivism is very important because it
takes the classic economic liberal position, but gives it more of a spine by
attempting to explain why states react in the way that they do. This mainly includes taking into account the
culture of a specific state and recognizing that there is more to a nation than
just politics and economics. Realism and
economic liberalism also fail to recognize the effect that non-state actors
have on the global economy, including groups like al-Qaeda and Hezbollah.
Constructivism is a noble approach in which to examine
Middle Eastern affairs. Economically, it
is especially important when analyzing the oil economy. Of course, this does not mean that the United
States should ever let its guard down when dealing with a nation like
Iran. Rather, if we can understand where
and why the Iranians have such great antipathy towards the United States, it
would help to construct a more comprehensive approach. Obviously Iran feels the United States stands
or represents the opposite of everything that is Islam and Sharia Law (to be
fair, a very strict fundamentalist interpretation), and working and making
progress that ultimately lead to peace rests on these institutions. The Iranian government’s philosophy underlies
any decisions that are made, and our attitudes could benefit from greater
cultural sensitivity to ensure the Iranian people’s confidence that we do not
want to destroy their culture. This approach
would be much better than the economic liberal approach because Iranians would
see that we are not just out to maintain that oil will continue flowing into
the United States for a reasonable price.
In the world today, it is important to understand where
the decisions that states make come from. When we know the source of a decision, we are better prepared to handle
that particular state and the best course of action. On the other hand, the United States should not
abandon a realist view on the world anytime soon. Rather, it should structure constructivism
into its general realist worldview and allow a better understanding of culture
play a strong influence in its quest to ensure (and augment) its own existence
and global impact.
Friday, February 24, 2012
Competence over Corruption: The Case for Mitt Romney over Newt Gingrich
by Casey Rankin
On Saturday, January 21, the political
world came to a shocking revelation: Republican voters from South Carolina had lost
their minds. Bypassing any pretense of
common sense, good judgment, or basic humanity, forty percent of South
Carolinians came to the buffoonish conclusion that former House Speaker Newt
Gingrich was the best possible choice to take on President Barack Obama in
November. When one stops to consider that
Speaker Gingrich’s career has been characterized by traits such as lack of
personal and professional discipline, his abysmal moral character, and perhaps
most importantly his record of corruption, it seems his nomination represents a
form of political malpractice on the part of the Republican Party. On every
front, Speaker Gingrich is an embarrassment to himself and his party, and he would
be the worst general election candidate in modern history.
The central rationale Speaker
Gingrich offers for his nomination is his assertion that he is the best choice
to stand toe-to-toe in the three televised debates with President Obama in the
fall. While Gingrich has consistently performed well in the never ending train
of Republican Primary debates, this is an inappropriate metric for forecasting
proficiency in general election debates. Much of Gingrich’s “success” is simply
due to his willingness to pander to audiences that are to the right of 90% of
the electorate, as well as the joy he takes in verbally assaulting the
moderators and his opponents. Neither of
these tactics seem likely to work in the more subdued general election debates,
which far more moderate voters watch, who are likely to find these tactics offensive
and immature. With his most tantalizing
asset largely neutralized, we are left to ponder the rest of Gingrich’s political
profile. Here is where it really starts
to get ugly.
Over the course of this campaign,
Gingrich has grown fond of bloviating on the “success” of his time in Congress,
particularly his four-year reign as Speaker.
While his attempts to claim credit for the success of Ronald Reagan’s
policies during the 1980’s as a backbench junior congressman are too
narcissistic and asinine to warrant serious comment, he does bring serious
accomplishments as Speaker, such as balanced budgets and welfare reform
throughout the 1990’s. However, this era also highlights some of his most
serious character flaws, namely his lack of discipline and character. In 1995, Gingrich single-highhandedly lost the
battle over the government shutdown with President Clinton when he remarked in
an interview that he shut down the government as revenge for Clinton making
Gingrich exit from the back of Air Force One at a state funeral. These kinds of
wayward comments, as well as his hypocrisy in impeaching Clinton for an affair
while carrying on one of his own, caused Republicans to lose House seats in
both ’96 and ’98. Amidst these failures and ethics violations that lead to him
being fined $300,000 by the House (the only Speaker to ever be sanctioned this
severely), his fellow Republicans successfully forced him from the Speakership,
leading him to resign in disgrace.
Gingrich’s erratic and failed record of leadership is further buttressed
by the fact that virtually none of his former colleagues who elected him as
Speaker are endorsing him for President.
Following his failed tenure as
Speaker, Gingrich decided to cash in on his influence, beginning a lucrative
career as a lobbyist. Most prominently, Gingrich collected $1.6 million from
mortgage giant Freddie Mac. Unwilling to own up to his participation in this
profession, Gingrich has cynically claimed that he was hired as a “historian”
at the “modest “ price of $25,000 a month for six years. His contract clearly contradicts
his claims, as he was hired by Freddie Mac's chief lobbyist, and the words
“history” and “historian” are absent from the document. In addition to his appalling lack of honesty,
Gingrich’s status as a lobbyist is a severe general election liability, as it
is among the public's least trusted professions. However, when it comes to
Gingrich’s dishonesty, his record on lobbying is among the least of his
problems.
Gingrich’s personal life is an
unmitigated disaster of his own creation.
From serving his cancer stricken first wife with divorce papers in 1981,
to asking his second wife, newly diagnosed with Multiple Sclerosis, for an open
marriage in 1998, Gingrich has distinguished himself as a repulsive and
shameful excuse for a human being. While he can blame these problems on the
“lamestream media” in the primary, general election voters will look past his
weak excuses and judge him for the shameful personal life he has led,
especially considering the disingenuous attack he lead on President Clinton in
the late 90's for his extramarital adventures.
Character matters in politics, and Gingrich has less than any person who
has ever served in the Oval Office.
With all of this evidence taken
together its summation is a simple one: Gingrich
is incapable of winning the presidency. This is confirmed by decades worth of
polling: in no survey taken throughout his political career has Gingrich ever
surpassed a 43% approval rate, while consistently possessing unfavorable
ratings of 55-60%. Even more troubling, Gingrich possesses nearly 100% name
recognition, meaning that these numbers will be almost impossible to reverse.
These ratings carry over to polls pitting him head to head with President
Obama, as he loses to the president by an average of 11 points according to
Real Clear Politics, despite the president's mediocre approval rating of
46%. Gingrich’s toxic candidacy would be
catastrophic for Republican candidates running for any office in 2012, and
would likely result in our losing the House and failing to recapture the
Senate. With our country facing historic economic and international challenges,
the Republican Party cannot afford to nominate an erratic, corrupt, degenerate
lobbyist to oppose this failed president. We must nominate someone who
understands the economy, who has worked in the private sector, who has a record
of successful leadership (particularly as an executive), and who has unblemished
character who can appeal to the middle of the road voters who will decide this
election.
Fortunately for Republicans, such a
candidate exists. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney checks all of these
boxes, having started one of the most successful private equity firms in the
country, Bain Capital, who under Romney's leadership invested in companies such
as Staples, Sports Authority, Steel Dynamics, and Domino's Pizza, which employ
hundreds of thousands of people. In 2002, Romney successfully turned around the
failing 2002 Olympics, making it the most profitable Olympics in history. As
Massachusetts governor, Romney balanced four consecutive budgets without increasing
taxes on individuals or businesses, cut taxes 19 times, created a rainy day
fund, and left the state with a 4.7% unemployment rate. Romney's first rate
character is evidenced by his marriage of over forty years to his wife, and the
absence of any scandal either public or private in his career. All of these attributes
have been born out in polling, as Governor Romney is in a statistical tie with
President Obama. It is clear to all but the most ignorant that Romney is the
only credible challenger to the president, making it our patriotic duty to nominate
him.
Now is the time for Republicans to
choose competence over corruption, decency over degeneracy, record over
rhetoric, and success over scandal. It is time for Republicans to choose Mitt
Romney over Newt Gingrich.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
The Occupy Movement: What Are They Doing Wrong?
by Colin Jones
Last
Wednesday I was enjoying my weekly Taco Bell burrito below Towers when I heard
somebody scream, “Sound off!” A handful
of others in the area echoed the voice.
I assumed at that point that I was in the middle of some sort of improv-everywhere
type of thing. About thirty seconds
later I realized that the screaming was that of the Occupy Pittsburgh movement
simply announcing a meeting later in the week, after, of course, telling us to
occupy our education. Immediately
afterwards, I can only describe my emotions as that of shock and confusion. Mostly I was shocked because after rattling
off the list of things we should occupy, neither Taco Bell nor my burrito had
made the list. I was confused as well by
the largely ineffective strategy of screaming at people until they join a given
cause.
This strategy proved to be ineffective in two ways. First, in the
middle of their verbal barrage, a kid next to me stood up and screamed “Shut
the hell up!” (well, he used a stronger third word, but you get the
point). The second reason why it was
ineffective was that I honestly couldn’t remember a damned thing they
said. Maybe try handing out flyers? Like
they say, “Take a picture. It lasts longer.”
But let’s go back to the first
point. Screaming your message is not a
great way to convince others to join you.
Frankly it makes you look crazy.
I would be much more interested in hearing what they have to say at a
table up in Tower’s lobby. Most radical
movements make the same basic mistakes: they are overly aggressive and often
inconsistent in their preaching.
Now, the fact that I was at Taco
Bell is important not just to show you that I have terrible taste in Mexican
cuisine. Half of the students advertising
the Occupy Pittsburgh group were eating Taco Bell! In all seriousness, it’s not
all that shocking because, well, it’s pretty damn delicious. What is shocking about it is that one of the
main tenets of the Occupy movement is the opposition of corporations. Allegations levied against “corporations” by
the movement include: “poisoning the food supply…sought to strip workers of the
right to negotiate for better pay…etc.”
I love Taco Bell as much as the next guy; however, the chain is in fact
operated by the Fortune 500 Corporation Yum! Brands Inc. So let’s get this straight. “Down with the
corporations… so long as they don’t sell warm, yummy, delicious comfort foods.” Sounds about right. Furthermore this Taco Bell is in the very
university you’ve just asked me to occupy?!
Please.
The problem with the movement is
that it lacks a true identity. It covers
such a broad spectrum of complaints (without offering solutions) that the
movement as a whole appeals to only a small group of people. To most of us, myself included, the Occupy
movement, taken on the whole, comes off as an angry mob of people screaming a
message they are not quite sure how to convey…or how to define.
Monday, February 20, 2012
The Minimum Wage Myth
by Josh Guckert
In 1935, President Franklin Delano
Roosevelt proposed a brand new concept to the United States: the federal
minimum wage. Originally deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court, the Fair
Labor Standards Act in 1938 reinstituted Roosevelt’s $0.25 an hour mandate, a
little over $4 in today’s money. Since then, every U.S. President except Ronald
Reagan has increased this hourly requirement. It now stands at $7.25, nearly
doubling the standard FDR set when he came up with the idea. Moreover,
President Obama has said in the past that he wishes to increase the minimum
wage to $9.50!
As great as it may sound, we must ask
ourselves: does this government mandate actually help the lower-income workers
it sets out to help? Deeper inspection tells us no. In fact, between 80% and
90% of economists say that increasing the minimum wage actually increases
unemployment among youth and low-skilled workers. The reason is simple: when a
business has only a select amount of capital to spend on lower level workers,
it must use that capital wisely. When big government says it wishes to help
poor Americans by increasing the minimum wage, it is simply out of touch with
reality. Every time the wage is raised, the companies must make a decision on
who to keep and who is expendable.
Those who raise the minimum wage seem to
think that a company where 100 unskilled workers make $5 each will be able to
easily turn into a company where 100 workers making $10 each. However, the
truth is much grimmer. That same company would actually consist of 50 workers,
with the other half being laid off to make up for the wage increases that the
lucky ones received. So instead of raising every worker’s salary from $5 to
$10, legislators actually decrease quite a few salaries from $5 to $0. Having no experience in other fields, these
newly unemployed will also have a hard time finding a new job, since employers
will be hesitant to pay such a high price for on-the-job training. There is no
need to fret, however, because many of the same legislators who passed the new
minimum wage will be eager to place these unemployables on another favorite
program of theirs: welfare.
Sunday, February 19, 2012
First Post
Welcome to the "unofficial" blog of the University of Pittsburgh College Republicans! From time to time we'll try to post articles and entries on what people in the club are up to (and writing about) politically. Feel free to offer comments and suggestions, as we're all kinda new to this blog thing. Regardless, enjoy the articles, and let us know what you think! If you're a College Republican and want to have an entry published on the site, please email Rick at rjh49@pitt.edu. Thanks, guys!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)